Framework
What TEA ECO Actually Means
The six-part structure behind every NLR signal brief.
TEA ECO is not branding copy. It is the desk method that keeps every brief disciplined.
A publishable NLR signal starts with a trigger, documents the evidence, checks historical analogs, tests plausible explanations, states confidence honestly, and finishes with a concrete observation window.
Key points
- Trigger keeps the brief anchored to something that actually changed.
- Evidence forces a real source trail.
- Analogs stop us from treating every event as unprecedented.
- Confidence is about signal quality, not certainty about the future.
This explainer exists so readers can understand the desk method without reverse-engineering a dozen signal pages.
Public-data intelligence for operators.