Editorial Standards

What Confidence Means at NLR

Confidence is a statement about data support, not about certainty.

We use confidence language to describe how solid the signal is, not how sure we are about the future.

That distinction matters because public-data reporting can be useful without pretending to be omniscient.

Key points

High confidence means the evidence is unusually clean.
Medium confidence often means the trigger is real but follow-through is still developing.
Low confidence stories usually stay in the watch pile instead of getting pushed hard.

This explainer exists so readers can understand the desk method without reverse-engineering a dozen signal pages.